Showers, Some Heavy, into this Evening Followed by a Chilly Weekend
This message freshens up the information in Monday’s weekly outlook. A strong cold front will bring a second round of showers, a few heavy, to southern New England this evening. An embedded thunderstorm is possible, especially in Connecticut. A few of the heavier showers and any embedded thunderstorms may produce gusty winds, possibly strong enough to cause spotty power outages. Saturday looks to be blustery with temperatures remaining in the mid to upper 40s across most of interior southern New England (chilliest in the higher elevations) and probably around or just above 50 degrees along the coastal plain and the lower Connecticut River Valley. A brisk northwest wind gusting between 25 and 30 mph will make it feel even chillier. Under clear skies and eventually diminishing winds, Saturday night temperatures will fall into the upper 20s and lower 30s across interior southern New England and to the upper 30s to around 40 in major urban areas and the immediate coast. Sunday should feature plenty of sunshine and light winds but on the cool side with high temperatures generally reaching the mid 50s.
Tropics
No tropical cyclone activity is anticipated in the Atlantic Basin heading into next week. The eastern Pacific, however, remains more active. Tropical Storm Simon that has been wandering off the Mexican west-central coast for days is expected to weaken further as it drifts northwest into a region of stronger vertical wind shear and mid-level dry air. On the other hand, Major Hurricane Trudy to the southwest may intensify even further over the next day or so as it moves generally NW just off the Mexican southwest and west coast. Trudy will produce dangerous surf that will spread north along the Mexican west coast and swipe portions of the Mexican west coast with damaging wind gusts and heavy rain.
Next Message
The next message will be the weekly significant weather outlook scheduled for Monday October 19.
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The National Weather Service monitors the weather 24/7 and updates forecasts, watches, and warnings as necessary. For most of southern New England, refer to your local Weather Forecast Office for the latest forecast/warning information at weather.gov/box. For information from other Weather Forecast Offices, go to weather.gov and click on the location of interest on the map.
The frequency of this blog will depend upon the nature of the weather threat and availability of the author. Thus, for the latest information on weather forecasts and warnings, refer to the National Weather Service, which monitors and forecasts the weather 24/7.
Blue Hill Observatory and Science Center (BHOSC)
The BHOSC maintains a continuous daily observation record that dates from February 1, 1885 without interruption and provides educational information on weather and climate to area students and the community at large. Your support of BHOSC is much appreciated and enables this nonprofit organization to maintain the long-term climate record at the Blue Hill Observatory (longest continuous record in North America) and provide valuable educational resources on weather and climate via outreach to schools, site visits/tours, webinars, and conferences. For more information on the Blue Hill Observatory and Science Center, explore bluehill.org.
Message issued October 16, 2026 by:
Bob Thompson
Retired National Weather Service Meteorologist
Blue Hill Observatory and Science Center Advisory Council member
